Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Andrew Paulson		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.65	2.21
	1.64	2.18	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)	2.11 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
56%

Neil Oberleitner
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrew Paulson's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrew Paulson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Andrew Paulson - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paulson will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberleitner (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paulson is ranked ATP: 506. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 384.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oberleitner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Neil Oberleitner - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Oleg Prihodko - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Pawel Juszczak - Andrew Paulson	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.25	Andrew Paulson - Robert Guna	Paulson A. retired ✺
16.04.25	Andrew Paulson - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL??L
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Berk Bugarikj - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Christian Garin - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

Andrew Paulson - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide