Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Christian Garin		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.16	4.5	Watch
	1.13	5.2	Watch
	1.13	6.43
	1.12	5.8	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.14	5.15	Watch
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.32)	5.29 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
82.3%

Neil Oberleitner
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Christian Garin - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oberleitner: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neil Oberleitner will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 214. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 396.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Garin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Garin is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Christian Garin - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Taro Daniel - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Christian Garin - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Tommy Paul - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLW

Christian Garin - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide