Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.37	3.18
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.38	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	2.88 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
67.6%

Neil Oberleitner
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neil Oberleitner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marco Trungelliti - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Oberleitner (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberleitner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 183. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 384.

Recent performances by Trungelliti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oberleitner is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Oberleitner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trungelliti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
07.05.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Pedro Cachin - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Luka Pavlovic - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Mykyta Mashtakov - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Christian Garin - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWW

Marco Trungelliti - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide