Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CASLANO (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: CASLANO (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrey Chepelev		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	2.06	1.74
	2	1.73
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
46.9%

Andrea Picchione
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrey Chepelev's form might have worsened.

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Picchione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Picchione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
25.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luca Giacomini	2:1 ✺
24.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Jan Sebesta	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Sam Kydd Baumgartner	Baumgartner S. retired ✺
18.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Maxime Mora	0:2 ✺
17.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WW?LW
- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
25.08.23	Andrea Picchione - Andrea Militi Ribaldi	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Andrea Picchione - Noah Lopez	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Andrea Picchione - Gabriele Moghini	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Giulio Perego - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
08.08.23	Gabriele Vulpitta - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Andrey Chepelev - Andrea Picchione

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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