Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Andrey Chepelev		Dominik Recek

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.06
	1.32	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	3.1 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
70%

Dominik Recek
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dominik Recek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Chepelev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Recek than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Recek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrey Chepelev - Dominik Recek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 497. Recek is ranked ATP: 1186.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chepelev is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chepelev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
13.10.25	Federico Bondioli - Andrey Chepelev	Bondioli F. retired ✺
09.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gian Gruenig	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LWWL
- Dominik Recek
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Dominik Recek - Sebastiano Cocola	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Dominik Recek	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Dominik Recek	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Daniel Siniakov - Dominik Recek	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Dominik Recek - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

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