Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Valencia 2 (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Andrey Chepelev		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	4.41	1.19	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	4.31	1.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (2.9)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
22.5%

Gabriele Pennaforti
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrey Chepelev's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Pennaforti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 690. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 440.

Recent matches Chepelev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pennaforti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pennaforti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pennaforti to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Ignacio Parisca - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Andrey Chepelev - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Alex Martinez - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Mirko Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

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