Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Valencia 2 (Spain), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
53%

Max Alcala Gurri
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Pennaforti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 440. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 461.

Pennaforti is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcala Gurri in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pennaforti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Pennaforti - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Alex Martinez - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2
22.09.22	Max Alcala Gurri - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1
14.07.22	Max Alcala Gurri - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1

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