The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrey Chepelev 39.1%
Lorenzo Carboni 60.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
56.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Chepelev is ranked ATP: 374.Carboni is ranked ATP: 478.
Chepelev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Carboni is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Carboni could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Carboni will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chepelev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.76%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.