The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daniel Michalski 70.4%
Lorenzo Carboni 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Michalski that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Michalski is ranked ATP: 281., and Carboni is ranked ATP: 569..
Michalski is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Carboni has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carboni could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Michalski for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Michalski has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.