Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Andrey Chepelev		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.4	1.3
	3.25	1.33
	3.38	1.29	Watch
	3.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.66)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
28.3%

Stefano Travaglia
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrey Chepelev's form might have worsened.

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Andrey Chepelev - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chepelev will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Travaglia will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Travaglia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Travaglia is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Max Houkes - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.23	Daniel Vallejo - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Mert Alkaya - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Gabriel Donev - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Juan Bautista Otegui - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Joris De Loore - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Stefano Travaglia - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Stefano Travaglia - Filiberto Fumagalli	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Jason Kubler - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

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