Match Info

Date: 16 February 2021, Tuesday


	Andrey Rublev		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.85	1.4
	3	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
33%

Daniil Medvedev
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Andrey Rublev - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (104 of 128 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.49% – 88.01%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

During last matches two players got success in matches and won.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rublev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Australian Open
14.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
12.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Feliciano Lopez	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Monteiro	3:0 ✺
08.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
ATP Cup
06.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?WWWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Australian Open
14.02.21	Mackenzie McDonald - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
12.02.21	Filip Krajinovic - Daniil Medvedev	2:3 ✺
11.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
08.02.21	Vasek Pospisil - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
ATP Cup
06.02.21	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
09.09.20	Andrey Rublev - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP St Petersburg
20.09.19	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.19	Andrey Rublev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Challenger
27.10.16	Andrey Rublev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2

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