Match Info

Date: 17 December 2021, Friday


	Andrey Rublev		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.25
	1.65	2.16
	1.68	2.22
	1.61	2.2
	1.65	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
57.2%

Denis Shapovalov
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Andrey Rublev - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
Davis Cup World Group
05.12.21	Andrey Rublev - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Andrey Rublev - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
02.12.21	Andrey Rublev - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Feliciano Lopez - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Andrey Rublev - Roberto Quiroz	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Stockholm
13.11.21	Tommy Paul - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
12.11.21	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
11.11.21	Arthur Rinderknech - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
10.11.21	Andrea Vavassori - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
29.10.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP St Petersburg
17.10.20	Andrey Rublev - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.19	Andrey Rublev - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Miami
25.03.19	Denis Shapovalov - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.17	Andrey Rublev - Denis Shapovalov	3:2

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