Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.87	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.84	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	2.87 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.8%

Denis Shapovalov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 28.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fritz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	1:2
ATP Miami
26.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Vienna
26.10.22	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Tokyo
08.10.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Doha
11.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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