Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+


	Tommy Paul		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.55
	1.52	2.48
	1.55	2.65
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
62.7%

Denis Shapovalov
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	0%	17.1%

Tommy Paul - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (63 of 76 users predict this - 82.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.42% – 91.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paul won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
12.08.22	Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
11.08.22	Marin Cilic - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Vasek Pospisil - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Denis Shapovalov - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Denis Shapovalov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
28.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
15.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	1:2
ATP Stockholm
13.11.21	Tommy Paul - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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