Match Info

Date: 27 October 2021, Wednesday


	Andy Murray		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.23
	1.65	2.38
	1.57	2.37
	1.63	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)	2.32 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
59%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andy Murray's performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andy Murray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.9%	0%	66.1%

Andy Murray - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 20 - 33.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 39 - 66.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 54% – 78.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murray is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Vienna
25.10.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.21	Andy Murray - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
19.10.21	Francis Tiafoe - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.10.21	Andy Murray - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
25.10.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Alcaraz C. retired ✺
05.09.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3 ✺
03.09.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andy Murray	1:2

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