Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.07	8
	1.07	8.5	Watch
	1.07	7.5
	1.09	9.8
	1.08	7.5	Watch
	1.07	8.4	Watch
	1.09	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.06)	8.06 ↓ (8.26)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
88.2%

Daniel Evans
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Daniel Evans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Evans will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Evans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Evans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
03.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW
- Daniel Evans
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Daniel Evans	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Daniel Evans - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Daniel Evans - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
02.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans	3:1
ATP Barcelona
22.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans	2:0
ATP Vienna
25.10.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans	2:0

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