Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo		Marina Bassols Ribera

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.73
	1.45	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.5	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.72 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
65.3%

Marina Bassols Ribera
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ane Mintegi Del Olmo's performance.

Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marina Bassols Ribera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ane Mintegi Del Olmo than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ane Mintegi Del Olmo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marina Bassols Ribera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Marina Bassols Ribera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mintegi Del Olmo is ranked WTA: 294. Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205.

Mintegi Del Olmo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bassols Ribera is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bassols Ribera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mintegi Del Olmo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Elina Avanesyan - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Astakhova D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWL?
- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Yue Yuan - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Joanna Garland	Canceled ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Anastasia Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WW??L

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