Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Marina Bassols Ribera		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.96	1.42
	2.93	1.38	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	3.04	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.28)	1.39 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Bassols Ribera
32.2%

Elvina Kalieva
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marina Bassols Ribera's form might have worsened.

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvina Kalieva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kalieva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 140.

Bassols Ribera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kalieva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bassols Ribera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalieva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Yue Yuan - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Joanna Garland	Canceled ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Anastasia Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 W??LW
- Elvina Kalieva
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Robin Montgomery - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Akasha Urhobo	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

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