Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Nostell C. (Swe)


	Ann Li		Katarzyna Kawa

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.24	3.85	Watch
	1.27	3.84
	1.28	3.88	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.25	3.76	Watch
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.42)	3.82 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
75.2%

Katarzyna Kawa
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ann Li's performance.

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katarzyna Kawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ann Li that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarzyna Kawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Ann Li - Katarzyna Kawa Predictions

Users Predictions: Ann Li will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Li is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Li could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Li is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Kamilla Rakhimova - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
08.07.24	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Dominika Salkova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Viktoriya Tomova - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Ann Li - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW
- Katarzyna Kawa
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Katarzyna Kawa	Canceled ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Alycia Parks - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.06.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WW?LL

Ann Li - Katarzyna Kawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide