Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	05:00	ESPN
Australia	19:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	09:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:00	HBO Max
Brazil	05:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	10:00	HBO Max
Canada	03:00	RDS App
Colombia	03:00	ESPN
Croatia	09:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	09:00	HBO Max
Denmark	09:00	HBO Max
Finland	10:00	HBO Max
France	09:00	HBO Max
Hungary	09:00	HBO Max
Mexico	02:00	ESPN
Moldova	10:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	09:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	09:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	09:00	HBO Max
Norway	09:00	HBO Max
Peru	03:00	ESPN
Poland	09:00	HBO Max
Romania	10:00	HBO Max
Serbia	09:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	09:00	HBO Max
Spain	09:00	HBO Max
Sweden	09:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	08:00	Discovery+
Usa	03:00	ESPN USA
Venezuela	04:00	ESPN


	Anna Kalinskaya		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.38	1.25
	4.28	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.28	1.23	Watch
	4.33	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (5.48)	1.23 ↑ (1.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna Kalinskaya
22.3%

Iga Swiatek
77.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

82.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna Kalinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kalinskaya will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swiatek will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalinskaya (votes: 3 - 60%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Kalinskaya (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kalinskaya (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalinskaya (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 33. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Swiatek is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kalinskaya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Victoria Mboko - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Australian Open
22.01.26	Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Yue Yuan - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
11.01.26	Iga Swiatek - Belinda Bencic	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Cori Gauff - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Maya Joint - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0
WTA Dubai
23.02.24	Iga Swiatek - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2

Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek