Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MIDLAND (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Anna-Lena Friedsam		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.8	1.43
	2.55	1.44
	2.66	1.49
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.73)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna-Lena Friedsam
35%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna-Lena Friedsam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna-Lena Friedsam than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Anna Lena Friedsam - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Friedsam will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osorio Serrano: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Friedsam is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osorio Serrano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Osorio Serrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Osorio Serrano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Osorio Serrano to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna-Lena Friedsam
ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Sachia Vickery	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Yue Yuan - Anna-Lena Friedsam	Canceled ✺
24.10.22	Xiaodi You - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara 2
15.10.22	Danielle Lao - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:1 ✺
WTA Ostrava
02.10.22	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LLL
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
ATP Challenger
03.11.22	Elizabeth Mandlik - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Eugenie Bouchard - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
27.10.22	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	1:2 ✺
26.10.22	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Nao Hibino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

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