Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tucuman, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Antonia Vergara Rivera		Luisina Giovannini

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.3	1.18	Watch
	4.75	1.2
	4.33	1.18	Watch
	4.25	1.18	Watch
	2.85	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.58)	1.21 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antonia Vergara Rivera
22.7%

Luisina Giovannini
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antonia Vergara Rivera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antonia Vergara Rivera's form might have worsened.

Luisina Giovannini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luisina Giovannini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antonia Vergara Rivera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luisina Giovannini than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luisina Giovannini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Antonia Vergara Rivera - Luisina Giovannini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 458. Giovannini is ranked WTA: 279.

In recent matches, Vergara Rivera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giovannini has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giovannini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Giovannini is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vergara Rivera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Panna Udvardy - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Katarina Jokic - Antonia Vergara Rivera	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWLW
- Luisina Giovannini
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Lian Tran - Luisina Giovannini	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Sinja Kraus - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Simona Waltert - Luisina Giovannini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Luisina Giovannini - Katarina Jokic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Luisina Giovannini	0:2

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