Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ibague, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Valentina Mediorreal Arias		Antonia Vergara Rivera

	1	2
			Watch
	4.5	1.16
	4.3	1.18
	7.64	1.05	Watch
	5.6	1.11	Watch
	5.5	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (3.2)	1.12 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentina Mediorreal Arias
16.9%

Antonia Vergara Rivera
83.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentina Mediorreal Arias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentina Mediorreal Arias's form might have worsened.

Antonia Vergara Rivera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antonia Vergara Rivera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Mediorreal Arias than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentina Mediorreal Arias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antonia Vergara Rivera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Antonia Vergara Rivera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mediorreal Arias is ranked WTA: 797. Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 481.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mediorreal Arias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vergara Rivera is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mediorreal Arias won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentina Mediorreal Arias
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Maria Camila Torres Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Marjorie Souza - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Giulia Alessia Monteleone - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Isabella Barrera Aguirre - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Thaisa Grana Pedretti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Valentina Mediorreal Arias - Antonia Vergara Rivera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide