Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Aoi Ito		Madison Keys

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.4	1.22	Watch
	4.57	1.24
	4.20	1.22	Watch
	4.5	1.2
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aoi Ito
21.7%

Madison Keys
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aoi Ito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aoi Ito's form might have worsened.

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Keys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoi Ito than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aoi Ito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Keys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Aoi Ito - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ito will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Keys will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6 Games - Ito (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ito is ranked WTA: 94. Keys is ranked WTA: 6.

Ito is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Keys is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aoi Ito
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Aoi Ito	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Aoi Ito - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Dalma Galfi - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Aleksandra Krunic - Aoi Ito	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
31.07.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Aoi Ito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL
- Madison Keys
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Eva Lys - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
05.08.25	Madison Keys - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Madison Keys - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Madison Keys - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Aoi Ito - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide