Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Macon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Arantxa Rus		Xinxin Yao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.38
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	2.27 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
59.2%

Xinxin Yao
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Xinxin Yao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xinxin Yao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arantxa Rus - Xinxin Yao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 135. Yao is ranked WTA: 468.

Rus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yao is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Xinxin Yao - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Arantxa Rus - Sophia Biolay	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Arantxa Rus - Yidi Yang	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Arantxa Rus - Isis Louise Van den Broek	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Fiona Ferro - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Arantxa Rus - Carole Monnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Xinxin Yao
ITF Tournaments
17.02.26	Luiza Fullana - Xinxin Yao	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Celine Naef - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Xinxin Yao - Ayana Akli	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Zongyu Li - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW

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