Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Ariana Arseneault		Ella McDonald

	1	2
	1.74	2.03	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.06)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
51.5%

Ella McDonald
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Arseneault's performance.

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ella McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Arseneault that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ella McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 598. McDonald is ranked WTA: 389.

Recent matches Arseneault is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arseneault could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
15.03.25	Emily Appleton - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Jada Robinson	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Valentina Ivanov	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Sinja Kraus - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Ella McDonald - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Carolina Kuhl - Ella McDonald	Kuhl C. retired ✺
12.02.25	Ella McDonald - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Ella McDonald - Clara Vlasselaer	Canceled ✺
23.01.25	Ella McDonald - Iva Primorac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?L?L

Ariana Arseneault - Ella McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide