Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Arnaud Bovy		Erik Crepaldi

	1	2
	1.85	1.83
	1.87	1.77
	1.93	1.81
	1.83	1.83
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.75)	1.82 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnaud Bovy
49%

Erik Crepaldi
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnaud Bovy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnaud Bovy's performance.

Erik Crepaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erik Crepaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnaud Bovy than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnaud Bovy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Crepaldi than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erik Crepaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Arnaud Bovy - Erik Crepaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bovy will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Crepaldi will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bovy: 63.4% – 93.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crepaldi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bovy has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bovy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crepaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnaud Bovy
ITF Tournaments
20.11.20	Karim-Mohamed Maamoun - Arnaud Bovy	Maamoun K.M. retired ✺
19.11.20	Arnaud Bovy - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Arnaud Bovy - Muthu Aadhitiya Senthilkumar	2:0 ✺
12.11.20	Arnaud Bovy - Erik Crepaldi	0:2 ✺
11.11.20	Alexander Erler - Arnaud Bovy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 ?WWLW
- Erik Crepaldi
ITF Tournaments
20.11.20	Erik Crepaldi - Miljan Zekic	2:0 ✺
19.11.20	Siddhant Banthia - Erik Crepaldi	0:2 ✺
18.11.20	Erik Crepaldi - Marat Deviatiarov	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Erik Crepaldi - Vladyslav Orlov	1:2 ✺
13.11.20	Erik Crepaldi - Vladyslav Manafov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.11.20	Arnaud Bovy - Erik Crepaldi	0:2

Arnaud Bovy - Erik Crepaldi