Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MOUILLERON-LE-CAPTIF (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Arthur Fery		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.21
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
55.1%

Giulio Zeppieri
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giulio Zeppieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Arthur Fery - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fery is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zeppieri is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zeppieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fery won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	David Goffin - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Robin Bertrand - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Arthur Fery - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Arthur Fery - Robert Galloway	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Remy Bertola - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
25.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Michael Mmoh - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Arthur Fery	0:2

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