Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday


	Arthur Fils		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.05	1.75
	1.9	1.77
	1.95	1.86
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
48.2%

Gianluca Mager
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Arthur Fils - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Arthur Fils - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Arthur Fils - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
29.09.22	Arthur Fils - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Skander Mansouri - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
26.09.22	Clement Tabur - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
20.10.22	Gianluca Mager - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Gianluca Mager - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Timofey Skatov - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Gianluca Mager - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
05.10.22	Gianluca Mager - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW

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