Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.51
	1.34	3.36	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	3.41 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
72.2%

Arthur Fils
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Fils will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 7. Fils is ranked ATP: 24.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
08.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:0 ✺
06.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
03.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW
- Arthur Fils
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Arthur Fils - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Brandon Holt - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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