Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 January 2023, Monday


	Arthur Fils		Louis Wessels

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.2	4.4
	1.22	3.65
	1.24	4.12
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.94	Watch
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	3.9 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
76%

Louis Wessels
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Louis Wessels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louis Wessels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Wessels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Fils - Louis Wessels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fils is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
21.11.22	Arthur Fils - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Arthur Fils - Mirko Martinez	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Arthur Fils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
11.11.22	Arthur Fils - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Louis Wessels
ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
28.11.22	Aleksandar Vukic - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.11.22	Louis Wessels - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
25.11.22	Louis Wessels - Savva Polukhin	2:1 ✺
23.11.22	Louis Wessels - Mihai Razvan Marinescu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

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