Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Arthur Fils		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.39	2.75
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.81	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)	2.73 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
66.2%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arthur Fils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mpetshi Perricard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Arthur Fils - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
09.11.22	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Adrian Andreev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Arthur Fils - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
01.11.22	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWL?
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Fernando Verdasco	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Federico Coria - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Renzo Olivo	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Mariano Navone - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.07.21	Arthur Fils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2
Boys Singles French Open
11.06.21	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Arthur Fils	1:2

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