Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Fils		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.48	1.61
	2.48	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 (2.44)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
39.1%

Alexander Zverev
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	0%	86.2%

Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Zverev (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 10%). Zverev (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 32. Zverev is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fils won 2.

Fils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zverev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zverev could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Zverev will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fils won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Fils	Prizmic D. retired ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WW??L
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.05.25	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Miami
26.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	2:1
ATP Hamburg
21.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2
ATP Halle
21.06.24	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Hamburg
29.07.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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