Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Arthur Gea		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.81	2
	1.81	2.01
	1.8	1.91
	1.71	2.06
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	1.96 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
52.4%

Laurent Lokoli
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laurent Lokoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Gea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laurent Lokoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Arthur Gea - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Lokoli will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lokoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	Skatov T. retired ✺
19.03.24	Arthur Gea - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Johan Nikles - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Lukas Rohseano - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWWL
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Yanaki Milev - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. retired ✺
25.02.24	Laurent Lokoli - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Adrian Andreev - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Alberto Barroso Campos - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.11.23	Laurent Lokoli - Arthur Gea	Gea A. walkover

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