Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Timofey Skatov		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.03	8.3	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	3.08 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
66%

Arthur Gea
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Gea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Gea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gea will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 175. Gea is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Skatov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Skatov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Nerman Fatic - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Benjamin Hassan - Arthur Gea	Canceled
10.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Arthur Gea - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	Skatov T. retired
20.06.23	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	0:2

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