Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Bzit A. (Mar)


	Arthur Gea		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.32
	3.48	1.32
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.43	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.85)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
28.1%

Luca Van Assche
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arthur Gea - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Assche is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Arthur Gea - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Michael Agwi - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
27.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Arthur Gea - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
08.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
07.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Maxime Janvier - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Luca Van Assche - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

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