Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Luca Van Assche		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.44	1.62
	2.44	1.63
	2.3	1.62
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.89)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
40.9%

Denis Shapovalov
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Shapovalov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Luca Van Assche - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Luca Van Assche - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Van Assche	van Assche L. retired ✺
16.04.24	Luca Van Assche - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LW?WL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Denis Shapovalov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

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