Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn (Germany), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Russo E. (Ita)


	Luca Van Assche		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.88
	1.95	1.87
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
48.4%

Sumit Nagal
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Luca Van Assche - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nagal will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Maxime Janvier - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Luca Van Assche - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Karen Khachanov - Sumit Nagal	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL

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