Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HERAKLION 6 (GREECE), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Arthur Gea		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.63
	1.47	2.64
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
63.3%

Mili Poljicak
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Arthur Gea - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Poljicak will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

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Preview

Gea is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Poljicak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gea will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
24.11.23	Arthur Gea - Jannik Maute	2:1 ✺
21.11.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Jakub Nicod - Arthur Gea	Nicod J. retired ✺
18.11.23	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Arthur Gea - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WW?WW
- Mili Poljicak
ITF Tournaments
24.11.23	Mili Poljicak - Alec Deckers	2:0 ✺
22.11.23	Mili Poljicak - Nazar Oliynykov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.23	Mili Poljicak - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.23	Mili Poljicak - Jean Christian Morandais	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Mili Poljicak - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

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