Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.27	3.25	Watch
	1.37	3.19
	1.37	2.97	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.27	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	3.22 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
71%

Tom Gentzsch
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arthur Gea - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 322. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 473.

Gea is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gentzsch is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gea is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Maximilian Marterer	Canceled ✺
22.01.25	Arthur Gea - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.01.25	Mae Malige - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Micah Braswell - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LWWW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Tom Gentzsch - Tom Paris	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Robin Bertrand - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Luca Nardi - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.01.25	Tom Gentzsch - Oleg Prihodko	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Tom Gentzsch - Aaron Funk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW

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