Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Arthur Gea		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.06	1.79
	2.05	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.48)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
46.4%

Vit Kopriva
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vit Kopriva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Gea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vit Kopriva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Arthur Gea - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kopriva will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kopriva: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kopriva (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 227. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 92.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kopriva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.39%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Arthur Gea - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Arthur Gea - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Arthur Gea - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Reilly Opelka - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Vit Kopriva - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Vit Kopriva - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL

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