Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Edas Butvilas		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.78
	1.99	1.74	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
46.3%

Arthur Gea
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Edas Butvilas - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: Edas Butvilas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 300. Gea is ranked ATP: 254.

Butvilas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gea is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Edas Butvilas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Tom Paris - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Arthur Gea - Igor Kudriashov	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Arthur Gea - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Gea - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jorge Plans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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