Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Eupen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Arthur Nagel		Amaury Raynel

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.02	1.72
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.67
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
45.1%

Amaury Raynel
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Amaury Raynel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amaury Raynel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Nagel - Amaury Raynel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 884. Raynel is ranked ATP: 738.

Recent performances by Nagel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Raynel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nagel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Raynel will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Jip Van Assendelft - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Arthur Nagel - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Tristan Lamasine - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Arthur Nagel - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Arthur Nagel - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Amaury Raynel
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Tarek Erlewein - Amaury Raynel	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Lucas Marionneau - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Gabriele Vulpitta - Amaury Raynel	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Amaury Raynel - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Gregor Hausberger - Amaury Raynel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Arthur Nagel - Amaury Raynel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide