Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Malta, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Arthur Nagel		Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

	1	2
	1.23	3.55	Watch
	1.89	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	2.68 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
63.2%

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Nagel - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 750. Bittoun Kouzmine is ranked ATP: 620.

Nagel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bittoun Kouzmine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.97%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Tadija Radovanovic	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tom Paris - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ben Jones - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	James Beaven - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Denis Petak - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Jaime Faria - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Karim Bennani	Bittoun C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Arthur Nagel - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0

Arthur Nagel - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide