Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Arthur Nagel		Cyril Vandermeersch

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.59	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)	2.18 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
57.5%

Cyril Vandermeersch
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.

Cyril Vandermeersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cyril Vandermeersch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cyril Vandermeersch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Nagel - Cyril Vandermeersch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 796. Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 601.

Nagel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vandermeersch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nagel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Cyril Vandermeersch - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.82%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Noah Thurner - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Liam Broady - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Damian Wenger - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Gabriele Volpi	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Damien Clerc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Gabriele Volpi - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Michael Zhu - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Maxence Beauge - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLL?L

Arthur Nagel - Cyril Vandermeersch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide