Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Alaminos 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Arthur Nagel		Damian Wenger

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.45
	2.62	1.44
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	3.05	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.23)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
34.1%

Damian Wenger
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Damian Wenger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damian Wenger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 994. Wenger is ranked ATP: 647.

Recent matches Nagel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wenger is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nagel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wenger is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wenger to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nagel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Jasza Szajrych	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Niccolo Catini - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Damian Wenger
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Arthur Bonnaud - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Damian Wenger - Branko Djuric	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Damian Wenger - Matteo De Vincentis	De Vincentis M. retired ✺
20.03.25	Damian Wenger - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Arthur Nagel - Damian Wenger	0:2

Arthur Nagel - Damian Wenger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide