Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Hungary	Arena 4


	Arthur Rinderknech		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.6	1.3	Watch
	3.67	1.33
	3.00	1.37	Watch
	3.7	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.85)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
27.4%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Rinderknech's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 54. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 13.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Hamad Medjedovic	Medjedovic H. retired ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWW?L
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1 ✺
03.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired
ATP Mallorca
24.06.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2

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