Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	1.94	1.96
	2.04	1.74	Watch
			Watch
	1.93	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
48.9%

Lorenzo Musetti
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Musetti will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Musetti (votes: 8 - 34.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 13. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2.

Now, both players are in good form.

Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Musetti will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1 ✺
03.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Francisco Comesana - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
28.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1
ATP Olympic Games
03.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
26.11.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Florence
15.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Lyon
18.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Barcelona
21.04.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide