Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Rinderknech		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.79	Watch
	2	1.86
			Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
47.8%

Francesco Passaro
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Rinderknech's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Rinderknech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Arthur Rinderknech - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Passaro will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Rinderknech will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 64. Passaro is ranked ATP: 131.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rinderknech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Arthur Rinderknech	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Christian Garin - Arthur Rinderknech	2:3 ✺
01.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Gstaad
13.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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