Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Arthur Weber		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	2.35	1.53
	2.26	1.57
	2.41	1.62
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.6
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.64)	1.57 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Weber
40.5%

Yuta Shimizu
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Weber has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Weber's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Weber than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Weber that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Weber is ranked ATP: 405. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 396.

Weber has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Weber may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shimizu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Weber won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Weber
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Filip Peliwo - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Tai Sach - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Tran Quoc Cuong - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Moerani Bouzige - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Thantub Suksumrarn - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Yuta Shimizu - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Johannus Monday - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Yuta Shimizu - Arthur Weber	2:1

Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide